TSLA Tesla, Inc.
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Daily prices, adjusted for splits. P/E and P/S value each day on the results published by then; a gap in P/E means the trailing year had no profit.
Auto Manufacturers · Austin, TX · 134,785 employees · tesla.com
Tesla produces and sells electric passenger vehicles, automotive components, and related maintenance and insurance offerings. It also provides residential and commercial clean power products, including solar systems and stationary battery storage units. Revenue is primarily generated through vehicle sales and leasing, energy equipment installations, and ongoing customer services.
Why it is on our list: Makes electric vehicles and is developing self-driving software and a humanoid robot.
Bull case
The company is profitable and holds more cash than debt, alongside accelerating revenue growth. It also benefits from artificial intelligence making the machines and sensors it sells more capable, and would gain if artificial intelligence expands into robots and machines.
- Annual revenue growth rose from -3% to +12%.
- It holds more cash than debt and is profitable.
Bear case
The company lacks an economic moat, as its returns on capital remain below its cost of capital.
- Trades at the 90th percentile of its own valuation history.
- The price assumes about +58% a year cash-flow growth, more than the -24% a year it delivered.
- Returns on capital are below its cost of capital.
- Its sector cycle (Automotive & Mobility) is in contraction.
Features
- V-OVERVALUED Overvalued The price is 229% above its own-history reference value.
- V-NO-MOAT No moat Returns on capital are below its cost of capital.
- V-ACCELERATING Growth accelerating Annual revenue growth rose from -3% to +12%. Shared by most companies we track
- H-FORTRESS Fortress balance sheet It holds more cash than debt and is profitable.
AI impact
Sells AI to its customers Tailwind
The company sells electric vehicles and energy storage systems that artificial intelligence enhances. Artificial intelligence enables autonomous driving capabilities across its vehicle fleet, widening product appeal, while the company faces competition from rivals building competing artificial intelligence and autonomous technologies.
Where AI helps it
- AI makes the machines and sensors it sells more capable
- Can sell AI to a large base of existing customers (minor)
- Sells what AI workloads consume (minor)
Where AI could hurt it
- AI makes it cheaper for rivals to build what it sells (minor)
In the company's words
We expect this service will open access to an expanded customer base as modes of transportation evolve, and, along with products such as FSD (Supervised) subscriptions, unlock the potential to advance a service-driven business model based on AI, software and fleet-based profits.
As we seek to become a top provider of autonomous solutions, we also face competition in the fields of AI and robotics.
Assessed by AI from the company's own annual report filed 29 Jan 2026 and quarterly report filed 23 Jul 2026. A reading of the business, not a forecast or a recommendation.
Valuation position
TSLA is at the 90th percentile of its own valuation history. Depending on how far back you look, it ranges from the 89th to the 90th percentile. This is a relative measurement, not a price target or recommendation, and it assumes the business is still the one its history describes.
Price ladder
The measured price sits in the Above reference zone. These are reference zones, not buy instructions or forecasts that the prices will be reached.
This ladder rests on the company's own valuation history alone: there are too few comparable companies to cross-check it, so treat its zones as less certain.
What the price assumes
The measured price implies roughly +58.5% annual cash-flow growth, between +48.0% and +66.4% under other reasonable assumptions. Over the last three years it delivered -24.2% a year.
An estimate that depends on its assumptions, not a forecast.
Quality versus peers
Each dimension is shown on its own; they are not combined into a score.
Current analyst snapshot
Shown for reference only; not used in any measurement.
What would have to break
- Not triggered — Revenue decline
- Not triggered — Margin break
- Not triggered — Cash burn with rising debt
- Not triggered — Heavy dilution
- Not triggered — Warning language in filings
News
No recent brief on this company.