MU Micron Technology Inc.

Semiconductors Technology Research watch
Mixed context Trend: Rising Sector cycle: AI Infrastructure CapEx: Saturation Narratives: Too little evidence yet
AI impact: Supplies what AI runs on, tailwind
$1,028.50
−$7.34 −0.71% today

MU price and valuation history

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Daily prices, adjusted for splits. P/E and P/S value each day on the results published by then; a gap in P/E means the trailing year had no profit.

Semiconductors · Boise, ID · micron.com

Micron Technology designs and manufactures semiconductor memory and storage solutions, including dynamic random access memory, NAND flash, and solid-state drives. The company generates revenue by marketing these hardware components globally to customers in the data center, personal computing, mobile device, automotive, and industrial markets.

Bull case

The company converts a substantial share of its revenue into free cash flow after share-based compensation and generates returns on capital well above its financing costs. It also experiences a tailwind from supplying the memory consumed by artificial intelligence workloads, standing to benefit further if advanced memory proves to be an industry supply bottleneck.

  • The price assumes about +7% a year cash-flow growth; it delivered +270% a year over three years.
  • Turns 43% of revenue into free cash after stock pay.
  • Returns on capital run well above its cost of capital.
  • Annual revenue growth rose from +49% to +256%.

Bear case

The measurements do not currently make a distinct case against the business, though its position relies heavily on the ongoing expansion of artificial intelligence infrastructure spending.

  • Its sector cycle (AI Infrastructure CapEx) is in saturation.

Features

  • V-WIDE-MOAT Wide moat Returns on capital run well above its cost of capital.
  • V-ACCELERATING Growth accelerating Annual revenue growth rose from +49% to +256%. Shared by most companies we track
  • H-FORTRESS Fortress balance sheet It holds more cash than debt and is profitable.
  • F-UPSIDE Analyst upside Analysts' average target is 51% above the price.

AI impact

Supplies what AI runs on Tailwind

The company sells memory and storage chips that power artificial intelligence workloads in data centres, benefiting from strong hardware demand. However, its business increasingly relies on the ongoing expansion of artificial intelligence infrastructure to sustain sales.

Where AI helps it

  • Sells what AI workloads consume

Where AI could hurt it

  • Depends on the AI build-out continuing

In the company's words

Overall cloud growth continues to be driven by strong demand for generative AI capabilities by enterprises across multiple verticals, sovereign AI, and the shift of both infrastructure and workloads from on-premises to the cloud.
Data Center SSDs and NAND : The rapid proliferation of AI, cloud computing, and big data are fueling demand for high-performance and high-capacity storage in data centers.

Assessed by AI from the company's own annual report filed 9 Oct 2026. A reading of the business, not a forecast or a recommendation.

Valuation position

MU is at the 44th percentile of its own valuation history. This is a relative measurement, not a price target or recommendation, and it assumes the business is still the one its history describes.

Lower than own history Higher than own history

Price ladder

The measured price sits in the Reference zone. These are reference zones, not buy instructions or forecasts that the prices will be reached.

What the price assumes

The measured price implies roughly +7.4% annual cash-flow growth, between +1.0% and +12.2% under other reasonable assumptions. Over the last three years it delivered +269.8% a year.

An estimate that depends on its assumptions, not a forecast.

Quality versus peers

Each dimension is shown on its own; they are not combined into a score.

Earnings quality 22nd percentile
Investment discipline 11th percentile
Profitability 78th percentile
Return on capital 100th percentile
Cash margin 100th percentile

Current analyst snapshot

Shown for reference only; not used in any measurement.

Positive ratings91.8%
Analysts46
Forward P/E5.0×

What would have to break

  • Not triggered — Revenue decline
  • Not triggered — Margin break
  • Not triggered — Cash burn with rising debt
  • Not triggered — Heavy dilution
  • Not triggered — Warning language in filings

News

No recent brief on this company.