INTC Intel Corporation

Semiconductors Technology Re-underwrite / risk
Leaning supportive Trend: Rising Sector cycle: Semiconductor Production: Slowdown, turning
AI impact: Exposed to AI disruption, headwind
$104.43
−$2.65 −2.48% today

INTC price and valuation history

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Daily prices, adjusted for splits. P/E and P/S value each day on the results published by then; a gap in P/E means the trailing year had no profit.

Semiconductors · Santa Clara, CA · 85,100 employees · intel.com

Intel creates, builds, and distributes computer hardware and related technologies globally across client computing, data centers, and manufacturing foundry operations. The firm generates revenue by selling central and graphics processors, networking hardware, and semiconductor fabrication services to computer manufacturers, cloud providers, and other industrial clients. It additionally offers automated driving systems and specialized semiconductor manufacturing equipment.

Bull case

The business has experienced accelerating top-line growth, though this improvement is common across the broader market. Minor benefits also stem from selling components utilized by artificial intelligence workloads and providing more capable sensor and machine systems.

  • Annual revenue growth rose from -4% to +7%.
  • The share price trend is rising.

Bear case

Significant equity dilution is diminishing each share's claim on the underlying business. The company also confronts artificial intelligence headwinds as customer budgets shift toward alternative hardware offerings.

  • Heavy dilution is eroding each share's claim.
  • Trades at the 95th percentile of its own valuation history.
  • The price assumes about +68% a year cash-flow growth, more than the -51% a year it delivered.

Features

  • V-OVERVALUED Overvalued The price is 299% above its own-history reference value.
  • V-ACCELERATING Growth accelerating Annual revenue growth rose from -4% to +7%. Shared by most companies we track
  • H-DILUTION Dilution The share count rose 16.8% over the past year, while revenue per share fell 8%.
  • F-ANALYST-BEARISH Analysts cautious Only 31% of analysts rate it positively.

AI impact

Exposed to AI disruption Headwind

The company sells computer processors and manufacturing capacity that experience demand from artificial intelligence workloads. However, customers are shifting significant spending away from its central processors toward competitors' graphics chips to run those workloads.

Where AI helps it

  • Sells what AI workloads consume (minor)
  • AI makes the machines and sensors it sells more capable (minor)

Where AI could hurt it

  • AI is pulling customers' spending towards other products

In the company's words

Since that decision, demand for leading-edge foundry capacity has increased significantly to support the demand for compute, particularly from AI workloads, and we expect continued increases in such demand in future years.
Organizations sought scalable, secure and energy-efficient solutions to manage rising complexity and performance needs, prioritizing GPU systems offered by certain of our competitors to handle compute-heavy generative AI workloads, often at the expense of CPU investment.

Assessed by AI from the company's own annual report filed 23 Jan 2026 and quarterly report filed 24 Jul 2026. A reading of the business, not a forecast or a recommendation.

Valuation position

INTC is at the 95th percentile of its own valuation history. Depending on how far back you look, it ranges from the 92nd to the 98th percentile. This is a relative measurement, not a price target or recommendation, and it assumes the business is still the one its history describes.

Lower than own history Higher than own history

Price ladder

The measured price sits in the Above reference zone. These are reference zones, not buy instructions or forecasts that the prices will be reached.

Confirmed break: at least one break condition is active.

What the price assumes

The measured price implies roughly +68.1% annual cash-flow growth, between +56.9% and +76.5% under other reasonable assumptions. Over the last three years it delivered -50.6% a year.

An estimate that depends on its assumptions, not a forecast.

Quality versus peers

Each dimension is shown on its own; they are not combined into a score.

Earnings quality 42nd percentile
Investment discipline 63rd percentile
Profitability 20th percentile
Cash margin 88th percentile
Dilution discipline 33rd percentile

Current analyst snapshot

Shown for reference only; not used in any measurement.

Positive ratings30.6%
Analysts43
Forward P/E50.3×

What would have to break

  • Not triggered — Revenue decline
  • Not triggered — Margin break
  • Not triggered — Cash burn with rising debt
  • Triggered — Heavy dilution
  • Not triggered — Warning language in filings

News

No recent brief on this company.