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QRVO

Qorvo, Inc. Y

M2: Product Cycle Avoid (29)
79.89
+0.0%
Updated

Valuation

Fair Value
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1Y Target
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3Y Target
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-14.7%
-15.6%
โ–ผ
-9.9%
3.0%
10.5%

Opportunity Score

๐Ÿ”ด Avoid
29.6 /100
๐Ÿ—๏ธ Structural 19.0 /40
Quality Score: 39.5 ร— 0.4
W-IP Moat: W-IP

Patent monopoly or trade secrets

M2 Methodology: M2

Margin expansion on volume

G-OPERATOR Governance: G-OPERATOR

Execution specialist (High ROIC)

S-P3 Stack: S-P3

High scalability, low CapEx

๐ŸŒŠ Thematic 18.0 /30
Strong Conviction (18.0 pts)
C2 Cycle: C2

Hyperscaler spending dependency

C1 Cycle: C1

Inventory-driven volatility

T6 Tailwind: T6

AI & robotics labor replacement

T1 Tailwind: T1

Benefits from economic cycle upturn

CAT-1 Earnings Execution Momentum

A perfect 4-quarter track record of earnings beats suggests management consistently outperforms conservative consensus estimates.

AI-B AI: AI-B

Infrastructure/CapEx dependent

RISK-1 Significant EPS Growth Deceleration

Projected EPS growth is expected to drop from 13.1% this year to 3.2% next year, with a near-term quarterly contraction of -14.7%.

RISK-2 Bearish Insider Sentiment

Net insider selling of 30,937 shares totaling over $2.5 million in the last 6 months suggests internal caution regarding valuation or outlook.

T4 Tailwind: T4

Sovereign resilience & energy security

RISK-3 Sequential Revenue Contraction

The -6.2% QoQ revenue decline indicates potential demand exhaustion or unfavorable seasonal shifts in core semiconductor segments.

โšก Tactical 0.0 /30
S-SHOCK-UPSTREAM Critical Mineral Supply Vulnerability

As an S-P3 hardware provider, Qorvo faces high severity MR-MULTIPOLAR risk related to undiversified supply chains for Gallium and Rare Earths.

Market Risk Multiplier: 0.8x (Elevated Risk (>40))

Overview

Qorvo is a semiconductor manufacturer specializing in radio frequency (RF) systems and power management solutions. The company provides critical hardware components for mobile devices, infrastructure, and defense applications, focusing on signal processing and wireless connectivity.

Market Cap 7.40B
P/E (TTM) โ€”
Rev Growth 0.1%
Gross Margin โ€”
CEO: Mr. Robert A. Bruggeworth
Sector: Technology โ€ข Semiconductors

Investment Thesis

๐ŸŽฏ Consistent earnings execution momentum evidenced by four consecutive quarterly beats against consensus estimates.

Although Qorvo has maintained a perfect streak of four consecutive earnings beats, the company is entering a phase of significant fundamental pressure. Management faces a projected EPS growth collapse from 13.1% this year to a mere 3.2% next year, a deceleration that is already manifesting in a -6.2% sequential revenue contraction. While the 15.9% free cash flow margin indicates current operational health, the $2.5 million in net insider selling over the last six months suggests that internal stakeholders are cautious about the company's ability to navigate the upcoming -14.7% quarterly earnings decline.

Bear 70.00
โ–ผ
Bull 128.00

๐Ÿ•ต๏ธ Insider Radar

Net 6M: 0.0000 shares
Buys: 0 | Sells: 0
Date Insider Type Value
2026-02-27 Sell 99.2K
2026-02-18 Sell 683.3K
2026-02-18 Sell 1.7M
2025-11-18 Sell 74.8K

๐Ÿ”ญ Quarterly Summary

Qorvo (QRVO) reported revenue growth of 8.4% YoY, though it experienced a sequential revenue contraction of 6.2%. The company maintained a gross margin of 46.8% and a trailing twelve-month free cash flow (FCF) margin of 15.9%. Management performance is characterized by consistent execution against targets, evidenced by four consecutive earnings beats, despite navigating seasonal cycles (C2, C1) and a shifting AI hardware landscape (AI-B).

Financial Performance

Analyst EPS Estimates