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PWR

Quanta Services, Inc. Y

M3: CapEx Intensive Avoid (51)
585.47
+0.0%
Updated

Valuation

Fair Value
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1Y Target
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3Y Target
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18.5%
3.9%
โ–ผ
41.6%
4.0%
10.5%

Opportunity Score

๐Ÿ”ด Avoid
51.1 /100
๐Ÿ—๏ธ Structural 23.1 /40
Quality Score: 49.8 ร— 0.4
M3 Methodology: M3

Utilization-driven leverage

S-I3 Stack: S-I3

Sovereign supply chain hardening

W-IRREPRODUCIBLE Moat: W-IRREPRODUCIBLE

Physical scarcity, regulatory permission, or living data moat

W-SCALE Economies of Scale

Massive scale provides structural cost advantage.

G-OPERATOR Governance: G-OPERATOR

Execution specialist (High ROIC)

S-POWER-SECURE Grid Reliability Moat

As an S-I3 infrastructure provider, Quanta is a critical enabler of power security, benefiting from the T4 'Time to Power' tailwind as utilities prioritize rapid grid connection.

๐ŸŒŠ Thematic 18.0 /30
Strong Conviction (18.0 pts)
T9 Tailwind: T9

Beneficiary of 2025/26 policy shifts

T6 Tailwind: T6

AI & robotics labor replacement

C4 Cycle: C4

Supply/demand pricing power

C2 Cycle: C2

Hyperscaler spending dependency

RISK-3 Valuation Ceiling

With an implied upside of only 0.9% to the mean target of $590.57, the stock is trading near the top of its current analyst valuation range ($380.00 - $685.00).

RISK-1 Insider Liquidation Signal

Bearish insider sentiment evidenced by a net share reduction of 32,002 and total sell value of $14,295,860 over the last six months.

CAT-1 AI Infrastructure Expansion

Positioned as an AI Beneficiary (AI-B) with specific tailwinds in power delivery (T4) and grid modernization (T6) required for hyperscale data centers.

AI-B AI: AI-B

Infrastructure/CapEx dependent

RISK-2 Forward Growth Deceleration

Analyst EPS forecasts indicate a deceleration in growth from 21.8% in the current year to 17.5% in the following year, suggesting a cooling of the recent expansion phase.

T4 Tailwind: T4

Sovereign resilience & energy security

โšก Tactical 10.0 /30
โœ“ Cycle Tailwind (+10)
V-WIDE-MOAT Wide Moat

Durable competitive advantage supports higher terminal growth.

Overview

Quanta Services provides specialized infrastructure solutions for the electric power, renewable energy, and communications industries. The company manages the engineering, installation, and maintenance of transmission and distribution networks alongside large-scale renewable generation facilities.

Market Cap 87.58B
P/E (TTM) โ€”
Rev Growth 0.2%
Gross Margin โ€”
CEO: Mr. Earl C. Austin Jr.
Sector: Industrials โ€ข Engineering & Construction

Investment Thesis

๐ŸŽฏ AI Infrastructure Expansion (AI-B)

Although significant insider selling totaling $14,295,860 over the last six months and a projected EPS growth deceleration from 21.8% to 17.5% suggest a cooling expansion phase, Quanta Services remains a critical physical bottleneck for AI infrastructure. The company's irreproducible asset base and workforce are essential for grid modernization and the 'Time to Power' requirements of hyperscale data centers. While sequential growth moderated to 2.8% in the most recent quarter, the company's position in power delivery allows it to capture value from physical constraints that software-driven AI services cannot automate or deflate.

Bear 380.00
โ–ผ
Bull 685.00

๐Ÿ•ต๏ธ Insider Radar

Net 6M: 0.0000 shares
Buys: 0 | Sells: 0
Date Insider Type Value
2025-11-10 Sell 3.4M
2025-11-10 Sell 3.3M
2025-11-10 Sell 1M
2025-11-10 Sell 1.5M
2025-11-10 Sell 60.2K

๐Ÿ”ญ Quarterly Summary

Quanta Services (PWR) reported strong year-over-year revenue growth of 19.7%, reaching a gross margin of 15.5% and a TTM free cash flow margin of 5.7%. The company's performance is underpinned by its S-I3 infrastructure services position, benefiting from grid modernization (T6) and renewable energy tailwinds (T9). Management continues to execute effectively, maintaining a perfect earnings track record with four consecutive beats, though sequential growth moderated to 2.8%.

Financial Performance

Analyst EPS Estimates