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POWI

Power Integrations, Inc. Y

M3: CapEx Intensive Avoid (11)
54.55
+0.0%
Updated

Valuation

Fair Value
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1Y Target
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3Y Target
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-27.4%
-30.4%
-22.6%
3.0%
10.5%

Opportunity Score

🔴 Avoid
11.2 /100
🏗️ Structural 11.2 /40
Quality Score: 30.1 × 0.4
W-IP Moat: W-IP

Patent monopoly or trade secrets

M3 Methodology: M3

Utilization-driven leverage

G-OPERATOR Governance: G-OPERATOR

Execution specialist (High ROIC)

H-FORTRESS Fortress Balance Sheet

Net cash position with >10x interest coverage.

W-SCALE Economies of Scale

Massive scale provides structural cost advantage.

S-P5 Stack: S-P5

Design + own fabs

🌊 Thematic 0.0 /30
Low Conviction (0.0 pts)
C2 Cycle: C2

Hyperscaler spending dependency

C1 Cycle: C1

Inventory-driven volatility

T6 Tailwind: T6

AI & robotics labor replacement

T1 Tailwind: T1

Benefits from economic cycle upturn

CAT-1 Earnings Surprise Momentum

A perfect track record of 4 beats in the last 4 quarters suggests management effectively manages expectations, providing potential for a positive price shock on next release.

AI-B AI: AI-B

Infrastructure/CapEx dependent

RISK-1 V-OVERVALUED Market Premium

The current share price of $54.61 is 3.0% above the analyst mean target of $53.00, suggesting the stock is overextended relative to fundamental consensus.

T10 Tailwind: T10

Non-tech AI adoption J-curve inflection

RISK-2 Near-Term EPS Deceleration

EPS growth is projected to decline by 27.4% in the current quarter and 14.7% in the subsequent quarter, flagging a significant earnings headwind.

RISK-3 Insider Liquidation Signal

Bearish insider sentiment evidenced by a net reduction of 43,085 shares and zero buy activity over the last 6 months.

Tactical 0.0 /30
S-SHOCK-UPSTREAM Critical Material Concentration

As an S-P5 power semiconductor provider, dependency on specialized materials like Gallium for GaN technology poses high severity risk under MR-MULTIPOLAR supply chain shifts.

Overview

Power Integrations is a specialized semiconductor manufacturer focused on high-voltage power conversion technologies. The company designs integrated circuits that enable compact, energy-efficient power supplies for a wide range of applications including mobile devices, industrial motors, and electric vehicle charging systems.

Market Cap 3.03B
P/E (TTM)
Rev Growth -0.0%
Gross Margin
CEO: Dr. Jennifer A. Lloyd Ph.D.
Sector: Technology • Semiconductors

Investment Thesis

🎯 A projected 42.4% EPS recovery in the following fiscal year driven by GaN adoption.

While Power Integrations is currently navigating a significant cyclical downturn characterized by a 13.2% sequential revenue contraction, its structural role in the power semiconductor stack remains defined by its proprietary Gallium Nitride (GaN) intellectual property. Although the stock is currently trading at $54.61—exceeding the analyst mean target of $53.00—and faces a projected 27.4% EPS decline in the near term, the company’s ability to defend its 52.9% gross margin suggests it is not yet succumbing to the deflationary pricing pressures affecting software-based AI services. The investment case hinges on whether the physical necessity of its specialized power chips can bridge the gap until the projected 42.4% earnings recovery in the following fiscal year.

Bear 45.00
Bull 65.00

🕵️ Insider Radar

Net 6M: 0.0000 shares
Buys: 0 | Sells: 0
Date Insider Type Value
2026-04-06 Sell 4.7K
2026-04-06 Sell 3.3K
2026-04-06 Sell 2.8K
2026-04-06 Sell 5.5K
2026-02-10 Sell 296.3K

🔭 Quarterly Summary

Power Integrations (POWI) reported a contraction in revenue, declining 1.9% YoY and a significant 13.2% sequentially, signaling a cyclical downturn or inventory correction phase. Despite the revenue pressure, the company maintained a strong gross margin of 52.9% and a robust free cash flow margin of 19.6%. The segment performance reflects a transition period, likely impacted by broader semiconductor volatility, though management continues to leverage its S-P5 stack position in power conversion technologies.

Financial Performance

Analyst EPS Estimates