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ITT

ITT Inc. Y

M3: CapEx Intensive Watch (64)
216.90
+0.0%
Updated

Valuation

Fair Value
$ ---
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1Y Target
$ ---
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3Y Target
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18.9%
11.0%
β–Ό
24.1%
3.0%
10.5%

Opportunity Score

🟑 Watch
64.8 /100
πŸ—οΈ Structural 30.8 /40
Quality Score: 68.9 Γ— 0.4
G-OPERATOR Governance: G-OPERATOR

Execution specialist (High ROIC)

W-SWITCH Moat: W-SWITCH

High cost to rip-and-replace

H-DILUTION Serial Diluter

Shares outstanding increased by 5.4% YoY.

M3 Methodology: M3

Utilization-driven leverage

H-FORTRESS Fortress Balance Sheet

Net cash position with >10x interest coverage.

S-I3 Stack: S-I3

Sovereign supply chain hardening

W-SCALE Economies of Scale

Massive scale provides structural cost advantage.

🌊 Thematic 24.0 /30
High Conviction (24.0 pts)
C2 Cycle: C2

Hyperscaler spending dependency

T10 Tailwind: T10

Non-tech AI adoption J-curve inflection

CAT-2 Industrial Infrastructure Tailwinds

Exposure to infrastructure cycles (C2, C6) and AI-related industrial demand (AI-B) provides structural growth support.

T6 Tailwind: T6

AI & robotics labor replacement

AI-B AI: AI-B

Infrastructure/CapEx dependent

RISK-3 Valuation Dispersion

The wide analyst target range ($175.00 - $271.00) suggests high uncertainty regarding the company's valuation in the current industrial cycle.

C6 Cycle: C6

Credit-dependent demand

T4 Tailwind: T4

Sovereign resilience & energy security

CAT-1 Earnings Execution Momentum

A perfect 4/4 earnings beat record over the last year suggests management effectively manages expectations and operational delivery.

RISK-1 Bearish Insider Sentiment

Net insider sales of 69,188 shares totaling over $13.1M in the last 6 months indicate a lack of conviction at current price levels.

T3 Tailwind: T3

Manufacturing sector expansion tailwind

RISK-2 EPS Growth Deceleration

Forward EPS growth is projected to decelerate from 18.9% in the current quarter to 15.7% in the following quarter and year.

⚑ Tactical 10.0 /30
βœ“ Cycle Tailwind (+10)

Overview

ITT Inc. is a diversified manufacturer of highly engineered critical components and customized technology solutions for the energy, transportation, and industrial sectors. The company operates through segments specializing in motion technologies, industrial process, and connect-and-control technologies.

Market Cap 19.49B
P/E (TTM) β€”
Rev Growth 0.1%
Gross Margin β€”
CEO: Mr. Luca Savi
Sector: Industrials β€’ Specialty Industrial Machinery

Investment Thesis

🎯 Sustained industrial infrastructure demand and continued 4/4 earnings execution momentum.

Although substantial insider selling totaling $13.1 million over the last six months indicates a lack of conviction among leadership, ITT Inc. is currently benefiting from structural tailwinds in industrial infrastructure. The company has maintained an unblemished record of four consecutive quarterly earnings beats, which has helped offset concerns regarding a projected deceleration in EPS growth from 18.9% in the current quarter to 15.7% in the following year. By focusing on physical infrastructure and industrial cooling systems necessary for AI-adjacent hardware, ITT avoids the deflationary risks associated with service-based AI automation, relying instead on its high-switching-cost moat to defend margins.

Bear 175.00
β–Ό
Bull 271.00

πŸ•΅οΈ Insider Radar

Net 6M: 0.0000 shares
Buys: 0 | Sells: 0
Date Insider Type Value
2026-03-05 Sell 1.5M
2026-03-05 Sell 4M
2026-03-05 Sell 3.8M
2026-03-05 Sell 1.6M
2026-03-05 Sell 966.2K

πŸ”­ Quarterly Summary

ITT Inc. demonstrated strong operational momentum with 13.5% year-over-year revenue growth and a 5.5% sequential increase. The company maintained a gross margin of 35.5% and a TTM free cash flow margin of 13.9%. Performance is characterized by consistent execution, evidenced by four consecutive quarterly earnings beats. The company's classification as S-I3 (Industrial/Infrastructure) and AI-B (AI Beneficiary) suggests a focus on industrial applications and infrastructure cycles (C2, C6) that are benefiting from tailwinds T4 and T6.

Financial Performance

Analyst EPS Estimates