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GEV

GE Vernova Inc. Y

M3: CapEx Intensive Watch (64)
991.34
+0.0%
Updated

Valuation

Fair Value
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1Y Target
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3Y Target
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122.6%
45.2%
β–Ό
259.3%
4.0%
10.5%

Opportunity Score

🟑 Watch
64.5 /100
πŸ—οΈ Structural 36.5 /40
Quality Score: 88.2 Γ— 0.4
M3 Methodology: M3

Utilization-driven leverage

W-SCALE Economies of Scale

Massive scale provides structural cost advantage.

G-OPERATOR Governance: G-OPERATOR

Execution specialist (High ROIC)

S-POWER-SECURE Critical Grid Bypass Infrastructure

Positioned as S-I1-BYPASS, the company provides essential off-grid or immediate power solutions that are critical for sustaining AI data center expansion.

S-I1-BYPASS Stack: S-I1-BYPASS

On-site power generation

🌊 Thematic 18.0 /30
Strong Conviction (18.0 pts)
T9 Tailwind: T9

Beneficiary of 2025/26 policy shifts

C4 Cycle: C4

Supply/demand pricing power

T6 Tailwind: T6

AI & robotics labor replacement

C2 Cycle: C2

Hyperscaler spending dependency

RISK-3 Bearish Insider Sentiment

Insiders have sold a net 5,300 shares over the last six months with a total sell value of $4,505,000, signaling a lack of confidence at current valuation levels.

RISK-1 V-OVERVALUED: Market Premium Divergence

The current share price of $999.00 is 10.6% above the analyst mean target of $902.88, resulting in a negative implied upside of -9.6%.

CAT-1 F-POWER-PREMIUM: AI Infrastructure Demand

As a natural gas turbine and infrastructure provider, GEV is positioned to command 100-300% pricing premiums from AI hyperscalers facing a 10-20% power shortfall through 2028.

AI-B AI: AI-B

Infrastructure/CapEx dependent

RISK-2 EPS Growth Deceleration

Analyst estimates show EPS growth slowing from +122.6% in the current quarter to +86.6% in the next, with a full-year contraction of -16.8% expected.

T4 Tailwind: T4

Sovereign resilience & energy security

⚑ Tactical 10.0 /30
βœ“ Cycle Tailwind (+10)
V-WIDE-MOAT Wide Moat

Durable competitive advantage supports higher terminal growth.

V-ACCELERATING Growth Acceleration Rev +2.0%

Revenue growth trajectory is accelerating.

Overview

GE Vernova is an energy technology company specializing in power generation, renewable energy, and grid orchestration. The firm manufactures gas, steam, and wind turbines while providing hardware and software solutions for global electrification and grid modernization.

Market Cap 267.19B
P/E (TTM) β€”
Rev Growth 0.0%
Gross Margin β€”
CEO: Mr. Scott L. Strazik
Sector: Industrials β€’ Specialty Industrial Machinery

Investment Thesis

🎯 AI Infrastructure Demand (100-300% pricing premiums for immediate power solutions)

Although GEV trades at a significant premium to its analyst mean target of $902.88 and faces a projected full-year EPS contraction of -16.8%, the company remains a critical gatekeeper for AI data center expansion. The sequential revenue growth of 9.9% QoQ suggests that hyperscalers are increasingly bypassing traditional grid delays by securing GE Vernova's immediate power generation assets. While insider sentiment has turned bearish with $4,505,000 in net sales over the last six months, the company's ability to command 100-300% pricing premiums for gas turbines provides a buffer against broader cyclical troughs in the power sector.

Bear 600.00
β–Ό
Bull 1.2K

πŸ•΅οΈ Insider Radar

Net 6M: 0.0000 shares
Buys: 0 | Sells: 0
Date Insider Type Value
2026-03-03 Sell 4.5M

πŸ”­ Quarterly Summary

GE Vernova (GEV) reported revenue growth of 3.8% YoY and a strong sequential increase of 9.9% QoQ, supported by its S-I1-BYPASS positioning in power infrastructure. The company maintained a gross margin of 21.2% and an FCF margin of 9.8%. While management has delivered three earnings beats in the last four quarters, current market pricing has significantly outpaced analyst consensus, reflecting high expectations for grid modernization and AI-driven power demand.

Financial Performance

Analyst EPS Estimates